Michael Wilding
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Dec- 2012 -14 December
Studying Form by Numbers
Itās been said many times that the subject of studying form is an intricate one, but during the course of this article I hope to develop a step-by-step method of whittling down any field to a handful of likely winners as quickly and easily as possible. What legendary post-war bookmaker, Joe Lee, called the āglorious uncertaintyā of racing guarantees that…
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9 December
What Is A Horse Racing Rating?
Ratings are a very mis-understood medium in betting. They are however exceptionally powerful if used correctly. Today I want to make sure that you don’t fall into the biggest trap that most punters do when using ratings. You cannot get away from ratings in horse racing. They are part and parcel of what horse racing is. If you look at…
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7 December
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3 December
The Danger Of Emotional Involvement
I was at a friends birthday over the weekend and was chatting to somebody I’ve never met before and she was asking me what the hardest part of betting is. It was a very pertinent question and one that I’m very seldom asked. In fact, the most common question is, ‘How do I pick winners?’ While it was a very…
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Nov- 2012 -26 November
Creating Odds Lines – Episode 2 Fuzzy Logic
In my last article we looked at the basics of odds line creation and how that works. Today I want to advance on this article into using what is known as fuzzy logic to help you find the best horses to bet in the race. This is not strictly an odds line creation technique but it can be very powerful…
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19 November
Creating Odds Lines – Episode 1
For most punters creating their own odds line is considered as a sign that you are at the top of your game. It shows that you have an understanding of value betting and are advanced enough to be able to create an accurate odds lines that can be used as a baseline measurement for determining your bets. But how do…
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17 November
Paddy Power Gold Cup Preview
Today we see the Paddy Power Gold Cup taking place at Cheltenham and although the ground was declared Good To Soft in the overnight declarations, this morning is very much Soft. Without further ado,Ā I’m going to jump straight into analysing this race. I’m going to start by removing any runner with very high odds. Generally I don’t like betting on…
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12 November
Racing To Form
How do we know if a runner is likely to race to form, or if a particular yards horses are running to form? It is a tough question to answer and the best way is to watch every race. However, it’s possible to make a rating, and that’s exactly what the Racing Post have done to try and help you…
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9 NovemberAdvice
Four Common Mistakes made by Punters
When it comes to betting, whether you are a newbie who is just beginning to venture into the world of serious betting or if you are a veteran who has been betting for years and years, thereās still common mistakes that people make (and mistakes that people might not even realise they make). Below, we list 4 of these HUGE…
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Oct- 2012 -29 October
What Is A Book?
Following a question that was left on a recent article hereĀ I thought I would write on the subject of what a book is in sports betting. A book is what a bookmaker makes, hence the name. This is the method of creating a price on every selection in the race. With Betfair allowing us to take the place of the…
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27 October
Dutching: A Way To Make Your Betting Pay
Guest post written by Ed from Value At The Races. Have you ever fancied two horses in a race but sided with just the one and then watched it get beat on the line by the other one you fancied? This used to be the case for me until I discovered dutching. There are two ways to Dutch. You can…
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27 October
Racing Post Trophy Preview
It was a veryĀ disappointingĀ run from Prodigality yesterday and hopefully today we can find the winner of the Racing Post Trophy which is being run at Doncaster at 15:05. This is a small race with just seven runners in it competing for the Ā£122,000 prize. It is going to be a very competitive affair. If we look at the figures of…
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26 October
Racing Post Trophy Festival Day 1 Preview
Over the next three days Doncaster is hosting the Racing Post Trophy festival meeting. Today I’m going through the feature race of the day, theĀ Racing Post / SIS Betting Shop Manager Of Year Handicap at 3:15pm. There are 22 declared runners and the official going is soft, which the going stick has confirmed. The weather looks like there will be…
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22 October
Post Race Analysis – What you should look for
I would say that the majority of punters are only interested in whether their bet won or lost. They don’t watch the race while it is happening, and they don’t watch it after it has happened either. This is a big mistake, especially when you are learning to bet profitably. If your bet has won then you have done your…
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15 October
Fixed Stake Or Fixed Liability Laying
When we look at laying horses we have the option to place our bets to a fixed stake or a fixed liability. What is the difference between these two types of staking and is there a benefit to using one or the other? These are questions that I’m going to answer in todays article. First of all I want to…
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8 October
Measuring The Class Of A Horse
The class of a horse is often discussed in previews and by presenters, but what exactly is it? This is something that is very difficult to measure. Is it the personality of the horse, the ability of the horse or it’s breeding? I would say that it is a combination of all these things and then probably a bit of…
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1 October
Finding Winners At Festivals
Personally, I believe that Festival betting requires a slightly different approach to the normal one. The reason is that Festivals only last for short defined periods of time, usually three or four days. I always advocate long-term betting. It takes a certain amount of time and quantity of selections before you can begin to see how the patterns of winning…
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Sep- 2012 -26 September
Twister Season Profitable Angles
Guest post written by Ben Aitken. It is hardly a secret that the Nigel Twiston-Davies (NTD) bandwagon rolls into town in late Summer/Autumn time and sweeps all before it, it is a well know phenomenon and one that many a punter will be aware of. That, however, does not mean we canāt utilise it to our benefit and add a…
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24 September
Why Speed Ratings Are Powerful
Recently I launched a piece of software called Betting Speed Evolution, which not only finds winners on auto-selection but is also a speed based analysis tool. So, I thought that it would be appropriate to write an article about why speed ratings are so powerful. In the UK it’s commonly thought that speed ratings are only effective on the flat…
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22 September
Ayr Gold Cup 2012 Preview
Today we have the Ayr Gold Cup to look forward to. At the time of writing this post there are 27 declared runners and the going will be heavy. Let’s see if we can find who the strongest contenders in this race are. I am going to start with the ten runners who have raced over exactly the same conditions…
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