racing today
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Jan- 2013 -23 January
Punter, Interrupted: Betting During and After Bad Weather
Generally speaking, National Hunt horses are a little hardier than their Flat counterparts and consequently hold their form for longer. However, prolonged periods of bad weather can throw even the National Hunt formbook into disarray. Freezing temperatures, ice and snow in January and February often lead to numerous fixtures being abandoned, so that trainers’ plans for their horses are thwarted…
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21 January
It Doesn’t Have To Be Complicated
It’s very easy to over-complicate things in horse racing. In fact I could be accused of doing this myself. I often teach advanced methods and these can be complex, but you don’t need to have complex methods to make a profit. It’s harder to find profits using simpler methods but then the method is easier to use. It’s easier to…
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17 JanuaryReviews
Inside Zero Risk Trader Software [VIDEO]
[review] Zero Risk Trader is a piece of software that helps you to find risk free bets. The risk free bets are found by looking at every horse in the UK and IRE and highlighting runners where you can back the runner to win at higher odds with a bookmaker and lay it for lower odds on Betfair. By backing…
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16 January
Cheltenham Gold Cup – The favourites assessed
Guest post written by www.betfredcheltenhamgoldcup.com Now that 2013 is upon us, the Cheltenham Festival suddenly seems a lot closer. With the field of potential Gold Cup runners now officially confirmed, it is an opportune moment to assess how the favourites have shaped up in recent months. Bobs Worth – 3/1fav Nicky Henderson is so confident in Bobs Worth, he has indicated…
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Dec- 2012 -24 December
Predicting A Horses Improvement
I thought it was time to look at something a bit different, after all that is how we make profits as bettors. Have you ever considered whether a horse is improving? If you haven’t then you should. In fact you shouldn’t only consider if it is improving, you should also consider if it is declining. Do you want to bet…
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18 December
King George VI Chase Preview
The King George VI Chase, run over three miles on the sharpish, flat track at Kempton Park on Boxing Day, is undoubtedly the highlight of the Christmas and New Year period for National Hunt fans. Following the retirement of five-time winner Kauto Star, this year’s renewal looks to be the most competitive and open for several years. If official BHA…
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17 December
Creating Odds Lines – Episode 3 Multinomial Regression
In the last few weeks I have looked at a basic method of oddsline creation and an approach that uses fuzzy logic. Today I’m going to look at an approach that is used by a lot of betting teams around the world. It is a statistical method called multinomial logistic regression. This is a model that predicts the possibility of…
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14 December
Studying Form by Numbers
It’s been said many times that the subject of studying form is an intricate one, but during the course of this article I hope to develop a step-by-step method of whittling down any field to a handful of likely winners as quickly and easily as possible. What legendary post-war bookmaker, Joe Lee, called the “glorious uncertainty” of racing guarantees that…
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9 December
What Is A Horse Racing Rating?
Ratings are a very mis-understood medium in betting. They are however exceptionally powerful if used correctly. Today I want to make sure that you don’t fall into the biggest trap that most punters do when using ratings. You cannot get away from ratings in horse racing. They are part and parcel of what horse racing is. If you look at…
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6 December
The Advantages and Disadvantages of Betting on Golf
When it comes to Betting on Golf, there are a range of both advantages and disadvantages and that is what we are going to look at today. Some people will not touch the golf markets, maybe because of their lack of knowledge and delving into the unknown… Hopefully after giving this article a read, you will have a little more…
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1 December
Kauto Star: The End Of An Era
If you’re not a fan of National Hunt racing, you may find it surprising to learn that there are, in fact, just four Grade 1 staying steeplechases run on the British mainland during the entire National Hunt season. However, such is the gravitas afforded to the four races – the Betfair Chase at Haydock Park, the King George VI Chase…
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Nov- 2012 -28 November
Winning Isn’t Everything…It’s The Only Thing
It probably goes without saying that thoroughbred horse racing is all about winning, but it’s especially true for wealthy owners who may spend tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands or even millions of pounds on the initial purchase, training and upkeep of their horses. Ideally, what these owners are looking for is “black type” or, in other words, for their…
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22 November
Classical Gas: A Look at Next Year’s 2,000 Guineas Contenders
The November Handicap officially brought down the curtain on the Flast season proper, so before what W.H. Ogilvie called the “hardy, hefty humble-bred ones” – in other words, the National Hunt horses – take centre stage, it’s time to look back at some of the outstanding juveniles of the year to see if we can shed some light on next…
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17 November
Paddy Power Gold Cup Preview
Today we see the Paddy Power Gold Cup taking place at Cheltenham and although the ground was declared Good To Soft in the overnight declarations, this morning is very much Soft. Without further ado, I’m going to jump straight into analysing this race. I’m going to start by removing any runner with very high odds. Generally I don’t like betting on…
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12 November
Racing To Form
How do we know if a runner is likely to race to form, or if a particular yards horses are running to form? It is a tough question to answer and the best way is to watch every race. However, it’s possible to make a rating, and that’s exactly what the Racing Post have done to try and help you…
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6 November
Paddy Power Gold Cup Preview: Champion Court Gets The Verdict
Guest post written by Willy Weasel. The Paddy Power Gold Cup, formerly the Mackeson Gold Cup, is run over 2 miles 4½ furlongs on the Old Course at Cheltenham, where it forms the highlight of the three-day Open Meeting. This year’s renewal is due off at 2.35 p.m. on Saturday, 17 November, so it’s high time we had a look…
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3 November
Studying Form: Part II
Guest post written by Willy Weasel In my previous article in this series, “Studying Form: Part I”, I said that I’d outline the process of studying form, step-by-step, for a selected race. The race I’ve chosen is the Thoroughbred Breeders’ Association Fillies’ Handicap, due to be run on the Rowley Mile course at Newmarket at 4.45 p.m. on Wednesday, October…
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Oct- 2012 -29 October
What Is A Book?
Following a question that was left on a recent article here I thought I would write on the subject of what a book is in sports betting. A book is what a bookmaker makes, hence the name. This is the method of creating a price on every selection in the race. With Betfair allowing us to take the place of the…
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27 October
Dutching: A Way To Make Your Betting Pay
Guest post written by Ed from Value At The Races. Have you ever fancied two horses in a race but sided with just the one and then watched it get beat on the line by the other one you fancied? This used to be the case for me until I discovered dutching. There are two ways to Dutch. You can…
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27 October
Racing Post Trophy Preview
It was a very disappointing run from Prodigality yesterday and hopefully today we can find the winner of the Racing Post Trophy which is being run at Doncaster at 15:05. This is a small race with just seven runners in it competing for the ÂŁ122,000 prize. It is going to be a very competitive affair. If we look at the figures of…
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