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Jan- 2013 -21 January
It Doesn’t Have To Be Complicated
It’s very easy to over-complicate things in horse racing. In fact I could be accused of doing this myself. I often teach advanced methods and these can be complex, but you don’t need to have complex methods to make a profit. It’s harder to find profits using simpler methods but then the method is easier to use. It’s easier to…
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17 JanuaryReviews
Inside Zero Risk Trader Software [VIDEO]
[review] Zero Risk Trader is a piece of software that helps you to find risk free bets. The risk free bets are found by looking at every horse in the UK and IRE and highlighting runners where you can back the runner to win at higher odds with a bookmaker and lay it for lower odds on Betfair. By backing…
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16 January
Cheltenham Gold Cup – The favourites assessed
Guest post written by www.betfredcheltenhamgoldcup.com Now that 2013 is upon us, the Cheltenham Festival suddenly seems a lot closer. With the field of potential Gold Cup runners now officially confirmed, it is an opportune moment to assess how the favourites have shaped up in recent months. Bobs Worth – 3/1fav Nicky Henderson is so confident in Bobs Worth, he has indicated…
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14 January
The Basics Of Trading On Betfair
I haven’t written much about trading, and that is because it is not my personal favourite form of betting. But we want to make sure that we have all aspects of betting covered and trading is very much a preferred method of betting for a lot of people due to the limited risk involved in using it. I still receive…
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7 January
Has My Horse Been Improving?
It is not so much whether our selections have been improving, but more whether they have not been in significant decline. It is going to be a rare occasion that we want to bet on a horse who has been showing significant decline. After all, horses in a significant decline seldom win! Today I’m going to show you how you…
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Dec- 2012 -31 December
Making Sure Everything’s In Order
As we are coming towards the end of the year it’s a good time to make sure that everything we have is in order. It’s only going to be a short article today as I’m sure you ‘ll want to get back to the seasons festivities. At the end of the year it is a perfect time to look back…
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26 December
King George VI – Going Against Long Run
If you have been reading this blog for a while then you will know that the King George VI is one of my favourite races of the year. This is a 3 mile, class 1 chase race and I’m going to start by looking at some stats. Since Kauto Star has now retired, after winning this race five times, there…
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24 December
Predicting A Horses Improvement
I thought it was time to look at something a bit different, after all that is how we make profits as bettors. Have you ever considered whether a horse is improving? If you haven’t then you should. In fact you shouldn’t only consider if it is improving, you should also consider if it is declining. Do you want to bet…
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18 December
King George VI Chase Preview
The King George VI Chase, run over three miles on the sharpish, flat track at Kempton Park on Boxing Day, is undoubtedly the highlight of the Christmas and New Year period for National Hunt fans. Following the retirement of five-time winner Kauto Star, this year’s renewal looks to be the most competitive and open for several years. If official BHA…
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17 December
Creating Odds Lines – Episode 3 Multinomial Regression
In the last few weeks I have looked at a basic method of oddsline creation and an approach that uses fuzzy logic. Today I’m going to look at an approach that is used by a lot of betting teams around the world. It is a statistical method called multinomial logistic regression. This is a model that predicts the possibility of…
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14 December
Studying Form by Numbers
It’s been said many times that the subject of studying form is an intricate one, but during the course of this article I hope to develop a step-by-step method of whittling down any field to a handful of likely winners as quickly and easily as possible. What legendary post-war bookmaker, Joe Lee, called the “glorious uncertainty” of racing guarantees that…
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13 December
Laying: Betting on Horses to Lose
I’m sure many of you have heard of “Laying” often sold as being an easier way to profit on the horses. Of course, it’s easy to sell this idea because out of 12 runners in a race, 11 of them will go onto lose whereas only 1 will win. Betting on Horses to Lose may appear easier at first, but once…
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9 December
What Is A Horse Racing Rating?
Ratings are a very mis-understood medium in betting. They are however exceptionally powerful if used correctly. Today I want to make sure that you don’t fall into the biggest trap that most punters do when using ratings. You cannot get away from ratings in horse racing. They are part and parcel of what horse racing is. If you look at…
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7 December
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6 December
The Advantages and Disadvantages of Betting on Golf
When it comes to Betting on Golf, there are a range of both advantages and disadvantages and that is what we are going to look at today. Some people will not touch the golf markets, maybe because of their lack of knowledge and delving into the unknown… Hopefully after giving this article a read, you will have a little more…
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5 December
Three Popular Accumulator Types and Ways to Use them
Some people HATE accumulators. Why? Because of the risk involved. Some people LOVE accumulators. Why? Because of the potential return from a small stake. Below, we are going to look at three different types of accumulators and are then going to explain how you can use these accumulator types to take a boring bet with a low return into a…
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3 December
The Danger Of Emotional Involvement
I was at a friends birthday over the weekend and was chatting to somebody I’ve never met before and she was asking me what the hardest part of betting is. It was a very pertinent question and one that I’m very seldom asked. In fact, the most common question is, ‘How do I pick winners?’ While it was a very…
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1 December
Kauto Star: The End Of An Era
If you’re not a fan of National Hunt racing, you may find it surprising to learn that there are, in fact, just four Grade 1 staying steeplechases run on the British mainland during the entire National Hunt season. However, such is the gravitas afforded to the four races – the Betfair Chase at Haydock Park, the King George VI Chase…
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Nov- 2012 -28 November
Winning Isn’t Everything…It’s The Only Thing
It probably goes without saying that thoroughbred horse racing is all about winning, but it’s especially true for wealthy owners who may spend tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands or even millions of pounds on the initial purchase, training and upkeep of their horses. Ideally, what these owners are looking for is “black type” or, in other words, for their…
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26 November
Creating Odds Lines – Episode 2 Fuzzy Logic
In my last article we looked at the basics of odds line creation and how that works. Today I want to advance on this article into using what is known as fuzzy logic to help you find the best horses to bet in the race. This is not strictly an odds line creation technique but it can be very powerful…
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