Advice
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Feb- 2017 -3 February
This is making me kinda nervous!
I’ve been asked if I will speak at a small betting event in March. After a lot of thought, I decided to say yes. If you’d like to pop along, I’ll let you know when the tickets become available. For this talk, I’m going to be giving an overview of betting, and how to become successful at it. Obviously, my…
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Jan- 2017 -31 January
Weekly Eye-catchers – Horse Racing
Hi all, This week’s column you will find the following: • The best performances from the weekend’s horse racing; • The third part of my Cheltenham Festival Briefing, looking at the Albert Bartlett Novice Hurdle picture; • My Cheltenham Festival ante-post betting portfolio; • This week’s horses for your notebooks. • The horse that I think is handicapped to go…
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27 January
The forecast is…
…that the weather is going to be milder tomorrow at Cheltenham. Which is exactly the news we wanted to hear because tomorrow is… Cheltenham Trials Day This is the last day of racing to prepare horses for the big event at the Cheltenham Festival. And, to celebrate it, we’ve got our festival specialist to analyse all the races, and provide…
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25 January
This could be your golden ticket
As I was walking the dog at 6.30am this morning, I was considering the various things I could write about in the daily newsletter. I had a bunch of ideas, but a conversation with a friend yesterday had me thinking about trainers. Personally, I don’t use trainers much in my analysis, but I know a lot of people who do.…
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24 January
Weekly Eye-catchers – Horse Racing
This week’s column contains the following: • The best equine and human performances from the weekend’s horse racing; • The second part of my Cheltenham Festival Briefing, looking at the Neptune Novice Hurdle picture, with a 20/1 shot looking a bit of each way value; • A brief look ahead to Thursday’s Thyestes Handicap Chase at Gowran Park and some…
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23 January
The Notes That Made ÂŁ23,657
“There are many ways to skin a cat.” A phrase that, as far as anybody knows, was coined by Seba Smith in 1884. It’s also a phrase that’s truer for horse racing, than almost anything else. There is no right way or wrong way. As long as you make a long-term profit, whatever way you choose to take is perfect…
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19 January
All Weather Favourites (the inside track!)
2016 was an interesting year for favourites on the All Weather. During last year, they only made a small loss of -1.20% (to Betfair SP after commission), while winning 32.83% of their races. Betting them to place would have generated an even smaller loss of -0.38%, and given you 62.80% winning bets. While we know, from having previously tried, it…
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17 January
Boom… You just hit a bullseye!
“Lo Michael, Have you ever looked into: Distance WON by. Distance behind winner (irrespective of its official position) ie a horse could finish 6th or 7th and only be 1-1/2 lengths behind the winner; as opposed to a horse finishing 3rd beaten 5 Lengths. Only considering “like for like races in the above”” Tom left this comment on the blog…
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17 January
Weekly Eye-catchers – Horse Racing
Arthur Races into National Picture at Warwick There was some good horse racing last Saturday, with the highlight for me being the win of the Lucinda Russell-trained One For Arthur in the Betfred Classic Handicap Chase at Warwick. The race over 3m 5f is a definite test of stamina but even more so when the ground is as soft as…
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16 January
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16 January
Weekly Eye-catchers – Horse Racing
Last week I mentioned that I would be beginning a series examining the state of the ante-post market for the main non-handicap races at the Cheltenham Festival. Well, today I will be taking a look at the Skybet Supreme Novices Hurdle which gets the meeting underway on Tuesday. But first, let’s start by looking back at last week horse racing…
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16 January
Remarkable, Absolutely Remarkable!
“I had 3 winners out of four today at Kelso, remarkable absolutely remarkable, I thought I’d share this with you as only last night I read an article on your blogs about just using official ratings to find winners, not only this but the final race in which the horse came second really should have won but just run out…
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14 January
Is this a good rule?
Have you ever bought a betting system which tells you to look at the horse’s most recent finish position? I bet you have. Heck, if I dove into all the betting systems I’ve seen over the years, I reckon more than 60% of them would have that rule. But is it a good rule? Does the fact that a horse…
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13 January
Did you think I’d forgotten this!
Yesterday I said that I’d write the basics of a staking plan which was explained to me by John Jackson, one of the contributors to the SmartSigger magazine. Don’t worry, I hadn’t forgotten, everything you need to know is below… Let’s start by looking at the favourite 1% staking plan. This is where you stake 1% of your bankroll on…
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12 January
Most punters fail to make a profit because…
After yesterday’s debacle, I’m feeling much more relaxed today, and want to talk about staking. Staking is a large part of why most punters fail to make a profit. If you don’t have a bankroll of the right size, then you’ll eventually lose it. That’s not a possibility, or a ‘could’ happen. It’s a 100% guaranteed eventuality. And here’s why……
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10 January
Weekly Eye-catchers – Horse Racing
Last week I mentioned that I would be beginning a series examining the state of the ante-post market for the main non-handicap races at the Cheltenham Festival. Well, today I will be taking a look at the Skybet Supreme Novices Hurdle which gets the meeting underway on Tuesday. But first, let’s start by looking back at last week horse racing…
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9 January
The Donkey Ride
When I was young I used to go to Spain with my grandparents, for my summer holidays. One of my favourite day trips was to go up into the mountains and do a donkey ride around Mijas. Back then, I didn’t even know horse racing existed, and if you’d asked me if I thought I could have won a race…
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5 January
Dubai World Cup Carnival – Horse Racing
If you like your top class flat horse racing and you have been suffering withdrawal symptoms from the lack of top flat class action. Well, fear not, as today sees the start of the Dubai Winter Carnival at Meydan and a welcome return of top quality racing and prize money. The season at Meydan actually began on November 3rd of…
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3 January
Weekly Eye-catchers – Horse Racing
Eyecatcher Winners Bring Plenty of Christmas Cheer Well, I hope you had an enjoyable Christmas & New Year break and it was a profitable one from a betting perspective given the amount of top class horse racing action that was on last week. In last week’s column I tipped up Native River as the likely winner of the Coral Welsh Grand…
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2 January
The All Night Baby Rave
Happy New Year! What did you get up to on New Year’s Eve? This was the first New Year I’ve had with a baby, so the late night raves were out! We didn’t have any plans, we were going to have some friends up, but since we thought we’d be in hospital, we’d cancelled them. But then… on the 30th…
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