Advice
Live Blogging – British Champions Day 2014
Welcome to the Race Advisor’s live blog for British Champions Day 2014. From 12:30 I will be blogging live race analysis and conversation to see if we can find the winners at Ascot throughout the days racing. This is an interactive event and you can chat with me by clicking on the Comments link under each of our live blog posts.
This is a free event, but if you’d like to make a donation to cover the running costs then you can do that here.
I am excited already!
Looking forward to it Michael 🙂
Looking forward to it as well Michael.
I have given up trying to make a profit but have a great sentimental attachment to the horses, riders, trainers. I look forward to listening in on the ideas of those of you still engaged in the quest for an edge.
Would like to know what you think of the chances of Pallasator in 13:45
i think the ground will play a major factor,and the draw in the big fields today,and i think the Irish are ready to nick our doe they look strong
Stuck at work patrolling the m25 but this is gonna be interesting 🙂 iPad ftw
Great to have you hear from the M25 Arron.
Thanks Michael looking forward to it
could be worth laying leading light,on the ground then what do you think micheal
For return of investment pallastor
for value pallister,and estimate to beat leading light on what ive read today,and seen today queen ascot moore ground
Pallasator for me but I think Forgotten Rules will be strong, a bit of an unknown but serious potential and definitely one for the future
first race WW Place
Went for Pallasator – 8/1
Leading Light,,,Pallasator ,,Marzocco ,, first two win bt — allways take the outsided to place…..
Tricast .- Pallasator – Leading Light-Estimate –
That my lot….
Whiplash Willie e/w for me. Hopefully he can break the Irish stranglehold on this race (they’re three out of three) with eight of the last 12 winners being of his age or over. So even before the rain, this is a tough scrap for experienced stayers.
Estimate to place for me
leading light place
Pallasator form
Suart
Dyslexic first post, however made a small profit on place.
3rd choice in basic Monte Carlo.
Stuart
Well done Stuart.
no 6old or upwards won this for last 10 years
In the 2:20pm at Ascot Maarek for me. Maarek won this race in 2012 in soft ground with Jamie Spencer on board who takes the ride again today (Specner is 2 from 3 on this horse). Has also won the Prix De L’Abbaye (Group 1, soft ground) in 2013.He’s a soft ground specialist with all 12 career wins coming in good to soft ground or worse, so I think will go well in these conditions. And 8 of his 12 career wins have come over this trip.
Basic MC gives
1 G Force
2 Gordon Lord Byron
3 Tropics
Factoring in going, No2 Gordon Lord Byron is my bet ew.
Stuart
Have to go out for a bit so next two races as follows.
14.55
Thanks Stuart, we’ll look forward to welcoming you back when you can get back. This post will also work on mobiles 😉
viztoria and jack dexter for me
Hi Michael. Are you using techniques similiar to those in your Race Ratings Pro product to rate these horses today? i really must go back and look over that info again, was really good
G Force ..Viztoria..Gordon Lord Byron… win / e/w
Have to go out for a bit so next two races as follows.
14.55 MC
1 Hadaatha
2
great call micheal
1455 MC
Hadaatha
2 Chiquita
3 Tasaday
Tasaday ew
1530 MC
1
1530 MC
1 Charm Spirit
2 Night of Thunder
3 Custom Cut
Custom Cut ew
Stuart
Sorry I’m missing the fun, there has been some good advise so far
Seal of approval fo me in the next
Mine for the 2:55 is Pollyana e/w. In France has won 8 of her 20 starts making the top 3 places in 13 of those 20. A Group 2 winner at this time last year and has raced in a pair of Group 1 races this year, including when just 2 lengths behind Cirrus Des Aigles. 6 of her 8 career wins have been in soft ground or worse – ie enjoys cut in the ground. Based pedigree should handle distance. Trainer has only ever sent 4 horses to the U.K. which is interesting. William Buick has the ride.
Albasharah..Silk Sari… Chicquita -.. win bet..
I have laid Cubanita at 7.2 looking to trade out in-play
Don1t think Cubanita will relish the going and worried about her ability in this type of company
Silk and seal for me e/w Seal being the bigger bet
Traded out at 8.2 for nice profit
Good trade Arthur.
1605 MC
1 Ruler Of The World
2 Free Eagle
3 Npble Mission
Noble Mission EW
No selection for last race Charge of The Light Brigade.
Stuart
integral for me in the 3:30
3 stats no horse in last 10 running’s above 9-3,none older then 5 years,and in the betting,no winner above 11/2,that leaves 4 top 3 in betting and tooremore at 24
Custom Cut is looking for its 6th win in a row, but the step up to grp 1 class may find him out here, going has no concerns for him, but yet again going to lay it with hope of a nice trade out in-play.
Cat at 16’s should of pumped on him at 22’s for an ew
Night of Thunder -Trainer says he likes the ground!
Integral.. Night Of Thunder… Charm Spirit… win bet….
Good luck 🙂
3.30 asc – Kingsbarns – 17.5 back and then lay at 7 in running
I mostly trade in running Michael so looking forward to your email
Thanks Arthur, you will definitely like it 🙂
Pethers Moon e/w for me in the big one. 25/1 at the moment. Has looked very strong on deep ground over 1m 4f in Group 2 and Group 3 and will be staying on when some of these 10-furlong types have weakened. STake saving bet on Free Eagle as well.
Despite the going being an unknown for Free Eagle here this horse is still open to improvement at 11/4 slightly short odds but will have touch on it and will trade in-play on Noble Mission
For me Noble Mission and Shiekzayedroad offer the best value!
Sheik at 33’s looks a great outsider e/w bet for me I do love a long shot lol
Cirrus Des Aigles.. Free Eagle… win bet
Good luck Jump
cirrcus for me and al kaz place and western hym place
Al Kazeem for a place for me
Pleased to see we’re on the same runner 🙂
As I said Noble Mission – good value 🙂
You did indeed Mike, congratulations 🙂
Good job I punted for al k at 25’s e/w as well 🙂 thought he had it for a split second I was bouncing up n down in my lorry like I was riding him
Haha, it was very close Arron but you would have made a very nice return on the e/w anyway 🙂
Brilliant last race – edge of the seat finish – Love it!!
Totally edge of the seat 🙂
Many thanks for a very entertaining afternoon and for your magnificent freebie the Basic Monte Carlo’
This just shows that you dont have to spend a fortune on dodgy tipsters to make a healthy profit.
I didnt make a penny form my wins today as I only use the MC on races of 4-6 runners and so far in the first 10 days i am 50 points up. My main system luckily gave me the winner of the QE stakes so all in all a fantastic afternoons racxing.
Cheers
Stuart
Thank you Stuart, it was a great afternoon. I’m pleased to see that you’re using the Monte Carlo software effectively 🙂