Guest post written by Paul Micelli
Two weeks ago I looked at a profitable betting strategy and promised that there would be more coming! Today I want to show you 3 more ways that may help you to find contenders.
Recently-Ran Favourites – If a horse has run on the previous day, many bettors will overlook it as a potential selection on the basis that it may be tired from previous exertions. In reality, nothing could be further from the truth and horses that have ran in the last 24 hours are usually noted by the more conscientious bettor for having good working legs and a peak level of fitness.
If a horse that ran the previous day has been made favourite in the betting market then this often implies that high levels of investment have been made by connections and sports betting enthusiasts should never be too shy in supporting the market. This particular system enjoys an incredible success rate of 40%.
All-Weather Colts and Geldings – All-weather tracks definitely favour a particular type of horse and when an extensive run of results are reviewed it becomes clear that colts and geldings have a distinct advantage over fillies and mares on a fibresand surface.
The following selection process equates to a highly successful betting strategy that enjoys a 35% strike rate. The criteria for a potential winner should be mapped out as follows:
- The colt or gelding should have run within the last three days. This indicates that their legs are working well and a high level of fitness is present
- The colt or gelding should have won on an all-weather surface within the previous 4 week period. This indicates that the horse has the potential to win events on a fibresand surface
- The starting price of the colt or gelding should be in single figures. That indicates that the horse is fancied in the current betting market
Recent All-Weather Winners – Somewhat surprisingly, many bettors choose to overlook a winning horse and instead they tend to opt for selections that offer better value-for-money.
Although value should never be underestimated, there’s very little chance in having a decent run for your money if a recent winner in the same race looks to be far superior than your own selection. Finding a balance is important.
All-weather favourites tend to be less widely tipped than their turf counterparts and often some excellent betting opportunities are missed. By finding colts that have won all-weather events in the last 7 days AND have been named as favourites for your chosen event, an excellent strike rate of 48% can be enjoyed.
You can discuss these strategies in our forum.
