Outright Tennis Betting – The Winning Strategy (Part Two – The Draw)

Guest article written by Paul Micelli

Following on from the first part of the Outright Tennis Betting Winning Strategy, we have now established two vital factors:

  • Selections must only be made in high profile tournaments
  • Selections must only be taken from a high profile tournament after the draw has taken place

The second part of the system teaches us how to use the draw as a means of providing the likely winner from a chosen tennis tournament. Once the draw has been made, the following actions must be put into place:

  • The draw sheet must be printed and the field should be studied in terms of the schedule of the tournament
  • The field must initially be split into a top and bottom half based on the schedule of the tournament
  • Once the field has been split, the two halves should be split again to produce four different segments or quarters of the draw based on the schedule of the tournament

Once the four different quarters of the draw have been established, the sports betting enthusiast is presented with a more clearly defined opportunity of selecting an outright winner. Because the draw has been split into four segments, it is now possible to establish the strength of each individual quarter of the draw. There are now four other factors to consider that will help to reduce the size of the field further to assist in producing a final selection:

  • Players with little likelihood of progressing to the final itself should be eliminated from your selections
  • The field must be used to work out the best and worst possible route to the final for the players that remain
  • When leading contenders for the title eventually meet, studies must be made to establish previous form between the two opponents on a head-to-head basis. If the players have met in the same tournament or played each other previously on the same surface, this can help to establish an overwhelming favourite
  • The players who are most likely to win their own respective quarter of the draw can be more easily established than picking out two finalists from the full draw

By applying the above methods and considerations, the entire field can be cut down to the four players who are most likely to reach the semi-final stages of a tournament. While there will still be other filters that need to be applied before a final selection is made, the studious manner in which the four semi-finalists have been chosen will probably have already helped most sports betting enthusiasts to look beyond the market leaders, in-form players and seeds.

A great example of this was depicted in the Australian Open in early 2010. Elena Dementieva had the following path to the final. The figures in brackets depict her head-to-head performances against each opponent:

R1     Schiavone (5-4) Dementieva had won the last two meetings

R2     Hantuchova (10-3)

R3     Safina (5-5) Dementieva had won the last three meetings

R4     Azarenka (2-1)

The head-to-head record above actually made Dementieva a strong each-way option for making the final where a profit would have been guaranteed. In the event, she actually went on to beat Serena Williams in the final to land the title.

Michael Wilding

Michael started the Race Advisor in 2009 to help bettors become long-term profitable. After writing hundreds of articles I started to build software that contained my personal ratings. The Race Advisor has more factors for UK horse racing than any other site, and we pride ourselves on creating tools and strategies that are unique, and allow you to make a long-term profit without the need for tipsters. You can also check out my personal blog or my personal Instagram account.
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