Neptune Novices’ Hurdle

Yesterday was a great first days racing from the Cheltenham Festival 2014. Of the three major races that we reviewed for members of the Race Advisor Cheltenham 2014, we found a winner in Holywell at 13/1 BSP in the 14:40 Handicap Chase.

You can still join the Race Advisor Cheltenham 2014 members here for just £7 and get immediate access to race reviews of all fourteen major races during the festival.

Today there are three major races taking place, they are…

  • Neptune Novices’ Hurdle
  • The RSA Chase
  • Queen Mother Champion Chase

We have reviewed them all for members, and here today we are going to look at the Neptune Novices’ Hurdle which is being run at 13:30.

First of all let’s take a look at the key trends and past stats for this race.

Past Winners

Neptune Novices Hurdle Past Winners

Key Trends

  • 10/10 winners have been aged between 5 and 10 years old
  • 9/10 winners have won at least 50% of their hurdle starts
  • 8/10 winners have finished first or second in ALL of their hurdle starts
  • 8/10 winners have won over at least 2 miles 4 furlongs

At the time of writing the current entries in this race are:

Neptune Novices Hurdle Entries

It’s an interesting looking race and although only two favourites have won in the last 10 years, recent results would suggest that we look to the top end of the market for our winner.

On that basis, and looking at those horses that fit all of the trends, it is likely that the market has this spot on with both Faugheen and Red Sherlock heading the market.

The latter takes preference having run more recently and winning the trial for this race back in January. He also beat Rathvinden that day who falls down on several trends and looks opposable. He’s unbeaten in all his starts and, despite Pipe’s poor record in this race, takes the preference at a decent looking price for a horse that won comfortably in the trial.

Let me know who you’re going to be betting in this race by leaving a comment below.

And, there are another two major races today in the RSA Chase and the Queen Mother Champion Chase. Yesterday our key trends, stats and analysis found a 13/1 BSP winner,  so…

Get an analysis of both those races and all fourteen major races for Cheltenham 2014 here for just £7.

Michael Wilding

Michael started the Race Advisor in 2009 to help bettors become long-term profitable. After writing hundreds of articles I started to build software that contained my personal ratings. The Race Advisor has more factors for UK horse racing than any other site, and we pride ourselves on creating tools and strategies that are unique, and allow you to make a long-term profit without the need for tipsters. You can also check out my personal blog or my personal Instagram account.


  1. Agree with Red Sherlock, @5/1 is hopefully an EW bet to nothing. Pipes have been talking him up, sound like they fancy him. Surely wont be out the top 3!!

  2. I gather the coffee is pretty strong in Istanbul?

    Would be nice if Red Sherlock were to win in memory of David Johnson

  3. David Pipe has not had a winner on the second day of the festival. I realise these stats are there to be shot at, but my money’s on Faugheen.

  4. Faugheen gets my vote the wins he’s had were over better opponents in my opinion Ruby in the plate got to be worth a few extra yards no disrespect to Mr Scudamore 🙂

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