King Edward VII Stakes

At one and a half miles this race is longer than the last and we want to focus more on those runners who can go the distance. Irish trained runners statistically don’t do well in this race, although as we know this is no guarantee they won’t this year. The majority of previous winners had won one of their last two races and had also won a race as a 2 year old.

These trends allow us to remove 6 runners from contention giving us just 5 to consider further.

Alexander Pope seems to be declining in performance over similar distances recently and so can also be removed from contention.

Of the rest special note should be given to Dordogne, trained by M Johnston who has a 20% strike rate over the exact conditions as todays race and who certainly has the potential to win. Glens Diamond has shown significant improvement over todays distance and if he continues this trend he could be out of reach. Glencadam Gold is also showing good improvement, while not as good as Glens Diamond it is still worth taking note of.

My preference would be for Glencadam Gold and Glens Diamond with an each-way bet on both.

 

Michael Wilding

Michael started the Race Advisor in 2009 to help bettors become long-term profitable. After writing hundreds of articles I started to build software that contained my personal ratings. The Race Advisor has more factors for UK horse racing than any other site, and we pride ourselves on creating tools and strategies that are unique, and allow you to make a long-term profit without the need for tipsters. You can also check out my personal blog or my personal Instagram account.

3 Comments

  1. i am surprised that nathaniel does not feature in your calculations .I have a feeling after his last two runs that he will be thereabouts mike dunn

  2. Well spotted Mike, I did look at Nathaniel but his price was way to short for me to consider without enough advantage over the other runners.

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