Advice

How To Analyse A Race (THE RAPID METHOD)

Today I’m going to be using some of the tools at the Race Advisor to analyse a race rapidly. There are two things that are very important in analysing horse races: AccuracySpeed In the modern world, time is the most valuable asset you have. This is partly because modern technology allows us to be in constant contact with other people.…

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2019 Queen Mother Champion Chase Betting Alternatives Without Altior

Altior is one of the star attractions of the 2019 Cheltenham Festival. Trained by Nicky Henderson, the nine-year-old gelding has never lost a race over hurdles and fences in 17 starts. tar attractions of the 2019 Cheltenham Festival. Trained by Nicky Henderson, the nine-year-old gelding has never lost a race over hurdles and fences in 17 starts. His victories include…

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Taking A Tumble – Jockeys that Fall

A lot of people, myself included, have done a lot of research on jockeys, and I know a lot of punters blindly follow certain jockeys. Unless you had a decent accumulator bet on Frankie Dettori’s 25,000 to 1 ‘magnificent seven’ at Ascot in 1996, then I’m not sure this is a profitable strategy in the long-run. However, the ability of…

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Inside the Rails – An Owner’s Day At The Races

Hi everyone, I hope that last month’s post made you curious enough to want to find out more about the racehorse ownership experience and this week I would like to take you behind the scenes on race day. All owners with runners are allocated a certain number of owner and trainer (O&T) badges by the racecourse which the owner can…

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What is A/E in Horse Racing?

In recent articles, I have begun to include A/E figures when looking at potentially profitable systems. It relates to the potential value of bets and is based on looking at the actual number of wins and dividing it by expected wins (A/E = Actual/Expected).  If the A/E figure is above 1.00, it means the horse won more often than the…

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The Most Valuable Races at the Cheltenham Festival

The Cheltenham Festival remains the premier jumps horse racing event in the British Isles, and there are valuable prizes on offer for winning the championship contests there. National Hunt racing prize money might not be as huge as that given on the Flat at big galas like Royal Ascot or the Ebor Festival, but it is still significant. Top horses…

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Are You Still Losing Money with Horse Racing Betting Tipsters? You Could Be Falling Prey to Survivorship Bias

One of the big issues facing punters in the modern era is access to an extraordinary number of tipsters. Each of them claims to be successful to the point where one wonders: How do the bookmakers ever earn a profit? Quite easily as it turns out. Back in 2005, Harvard Medical school released details of a study it conducted which…

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Inside the Rails – An Owner’s Perspective

We’ve all been there, standing around the paddock, making a final check on the horse to be entrusted with our £10 bet.  In the Summer you might see Aiden O’Brien with John Magnier and Michael Tabor briefing Ryan Moore or John Gosden with Andrew Lloyd Webber chatting to Frankie Dettori on the lawn in the centre of the paddock.  If…

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Is an Odds-On Favourite More or Less Likely to Win the More Horses There Are in a Race?

If you happened to have purchased Eddie’s ‘Odds-On Winners’ strategy guide, then you’ll know that it is possible to make a profit even by backing horses that are at extremely short odds. After all, a win is a win, and when you are getting value with your selections, as is the case with Eddie’s guide, long-term success is likely. However,…

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Who Are the Trainers & Jockeys That Love Kempton Park?

There is something special about floodlit racing. Horses look even more majestic than usual when galloping along beneath the lights. Yes, it is normally cold and usually wet, and if you get too close to the rails, the kick-back off the Polytrack will fly up and smack you in the face; but it is still an experience that every racegoer…

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Running to Form (RTF) – What Does It Mean & Can It Be Trusted?

Horse racing is full of abbreviations, and it is far too easy to get caught up in the complexities of the sport. Don’t assume that it’s impossible to win if you don’t know your TS from your RPR! Even so, a punter’s greatest weapon is knowledge, so it pays to learn and understand the various methods of ranking horses, trainers,…

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Who Were the Best Trainers in 2018?

We have come to the end of 2018 and now is as good a time as any to reflect on the best-performing trainers of the year, from the perspective of a punter. In this article, I will look at trainers on the Flat, AW, and National Hunt, and see if this year was par for the course or an anomaly.…

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Is There Money to be Made from Forecasts & Tricasts?

Forecast and tricast bets have often been decried as ‘mug’ bets by experienced punters. In their eyes, these ‘exotic’ wagers are akin to going for a four or five horse accumulator. The odds are long, the potential payoff is massive, but the chances of winning are minimal. However, are we looking at these bets all wrong? Are they a bookmaker’s…

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Can the Ladbrokes Trophy Find a Future Superstar?

The upcoming Ladbrokes Winter Carnival is Newbury’s winter highlight, and racing lovers especially look forward to the feature race, the Ladbrokes Trophy, which is for horses aged 4yo+. Although it is ‘only’ a Grade 3 handicap event, this 3m 2.5f test of stamina has a habit of highlighting horses worth following in the season’s major events. The Ladbrokes Trophy was…

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Forgiving a Forlorn Run: Should You Risk Money on Horses That Failed to Finish Their Last National Hunt Race?

Admit it: You have dismissed horses in the past because they failed to finish their last National Hunt race. In some cases, it is a dangerous omission because there are a variety of reasons why a horse doesn’t complete a race. Perhaps the Going was all wrong, or the jockey misjudged a fence.  Did you know that over 18% of…

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Weekly Eye-Catchers

Morning! Frost Returns To Wincanton I waxed lyrical about jockey Bryony Frost on a couple of occasions last year. The first time was when she won last year’s Badger Ales Trophy Handicap Chase on Present Man. It was a case of déjà vu as the combination returned to win the race again this year. Once again Bryony got the 8-year-old into a good…

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In the Long Run – Is Stamina a Defining Factor for Longer Races?

The weather is cold and wet which means one thing: The National Hunt season is upon us! The hurdles and fences are out, the going is sometimes Heavy, and the races are longer with every mistake capable of taking a horse out of a race. After backing a horse to win a 3m 4f Chase race on Heavy ground, your…

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Weekly Diary – Horse Racing

I have decided to take a break from jumps racing for just one week to look at the flat and, in particular, last weekend’s Breeders Cup and the upcoming Melbourne Cup.   There’s no horse for the tracker this week, but I have provided a Melbourne Cup selection and a Monday stat. There’s no better jockey for the big occasion than Frankie…

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Halloween Horror Show? Get Over it by Nabbing National Hunt November Profits

By the time you read this, the British Flat season will officially be over which means it is time to switch focus to the National Hunt scene. While summer Flat racing is associated with fancy hats, Pimm’s, and the occasional sunny day, we’re about to get deep down and dirty. National Hunt racing in the UK is traditionally a mucky…

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Weekly Diary – Horse Racing

Champions Day was launched in 2011 to much ‘wailing and gnashing of teeth’, with commentators on racing forums predicting the end of flat racing as we know it. Champions Day would destroy the pattern. Ascot had got too big for its boots, and a few other things. I am sure you read them too. Well the modern-day Jeremiah’s have been…

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