Automated Betting: A Goldmine or A Poorhouse?
Not long after Betfair opened automated betting became the biggest thing in the gambling world. For the first time a regular punter could get software that would place their bets automatically.
Everybody began making software to automate betting.
And then, as always, realisation set in that it wasnât going to be as easy as turning the software on and becoming rich because⊠the software only placed the bets you told it to.
So if you were a losing punter then you still lost, itâs just that you did it on auto-pilot.
Slowly the hype around betting bots died down but, to this day, there is still a fascination with automated betting.
And understandably so. It makes the dream of being able to turn your computer on, start your betting bot and come home to a profit possible.
But in reality is it a goldmine or a fast track to the poorhouse?
Well, the truth is, that depends on you.
There are two major things to consider before automating your betting:
- Are you making a profit
- Can it be automated
There are a variety of different tools out there to automated your betting, but Iâve never seen anybody who focuses on trying to find selections through the software make a serious profit from any of them, except traders (which isnât really automated).
Of course, if the bot developers had found a way to make serious profits then theyâd be⊠well, making serious profits.
The exception to this rule are the betting bots that allow you to custom code functionality in a serious way in them. There are a couple of these commercially available and the range of features available means that itâs very likely they have users making profits.
So, letâs start with number one. Are you making a profit?
If youâre not making a profit then only one thing will happen when you automate your betting, youâll lose money faster.
Betting bots are tools. They implement what you tell them to. If you tell them to bet on selections that donât make a profit, then theyâre going to do that for you.
Itâs usually at that point people start to play with the betting bot settings to try and get it to make a profit, with one result. They lose money faster.
And this is due to a fundamental misunderstanding of what a betting bot is and does.
A betting bot is a tool that will place bets on selections found either through the bots own selection process which you setup or that you have uploaded to it.
It cannot make you a profit just because itâs automated. It is simply a tool that places your bets for you so you donât have to worry.
One of the most common mistakes is to think that you can use the staking plans in the betting bot to turn losing selections into profitable ones.
After all, you canât normally use those staking plans because youâre not available during trhe day.
Wrong.
If your selections arenât making a profit to flat betting then 99% of the time theyâre going to lose more when you start using a staking plan on them.
So, if youâre thinking about automating your betting then you should already be making a profit.
The next thing to ask yourself isâŠ
Can I automate my process?
Iâm a firm believer that if youâre going to automate your betting then as much of it as physically possible should be automated.
Look at your entire process, from finding the selections through to placing the bets and determine if it can be automated.
The only time it wonât be able to be automated is when youâre making a manual assessment of something yourself. Otherwise, it will always be possible to be automated.
Next you need to determine how much the automation is worth to you.
Are you betting at ÂŁ2 stakes? If so then itâs unlikely to make sense to get something custom coded.
If youâre betting at ÂŁ200 stakes then it probably is worth getting something custom coded.
Work out how much you value your time at.
At ÂŁ2 stakes you may be making ÂŁ150 profit per month. If your time is worth ÂŁ20 an hour, then youâre being paid for 7.5 hours each month. If you can automate your betting so you only spend three hours a month then youâve just saved yourself 3.5 hours of time, and at ÂŁ20 per hour thatâs ÂŁ70 per month.
That means it may be worth spending up to ÂŁ210 on software because within three months it will have paid for itself in time.
At ÂŁ20 stakes you may be making ÂŁ1500 profit per month. If your time is worth ÂŁ20 an hour then youâre being paid for 75 hours each month. If automating can reduce this to three hours then youâve saved 72 hours of time, at ÂŁ20 per hour thatâs ÂŁ1440 per month.
In this case it may be worth getting something custom coded to make it 100% automated if possible because even if it costs you ÂŁ3000, you will have paid it back within two months and no longer have any time commitment.
Something else to consider is your results.
Most people focus on the betting of selections automatically because theyâre not in during the day.
However, the actually placing of bets doesnât usually take up much time. Itâs the discovery of the selections and the calculation of results that takes the most time.
Your betting bot may be able to calculate the results of your selections for your automatically. This can save you hours of time each day.
In fact automating the result taking can sometimes be the biggest time saver of all.
So, if youâve been thinking about automating your betting, consider all the angles before making the decision if itâs right for you. If it is right for you then decide what can be automated and how much itâs worth to you in time. Doing this will give you a budget for how much youâd be prepared to spend on your automation and that will direct you as to the best type of software for yourself.
So you’re saying that ÂŁ2 stakes might give ÂŁ150 per month (75 points per month – that would be nice), but ÂŁ200 stakes would give ÂŁ1500 per month? Sounds like someone could do with a maths lesson.
Thanks for spotting the typo John, it was mean to be ÂŁ20 stakes.
Yes I thought so; glad to help đ