The Quick And Dirty Pace System
Today I’ve got something very different for you…
I’m going to show you how you can make profits using a free website and a pace system. Get a cup of tea and make yourself comfortable because you’re going to love this!
We’re going to be looking for Lone Fast Pace races that are no longer than seven furlongs. If you’re not sure what a Lone Fast Pace race is then you need to go and check out my Pace Analysis article.
Let’s break down exactly what we’re going to do in steps:
- Find a Lone Fast Pace race no more than seven furlongs
- Find the horse that is going to be the Single Leader in this race
- Bet them to win!
In just three steps I’m going to turn you into a profitable punter!
Okay let’s do this.
We need to discover a Lone Fast Pace race and to do this we’re going to use a free website. If you get pace ratings from somewhere else then you can use that source as well but these are a good place to start if you don’t.
The free website we’re going to be using is known as PatternForm and you can access it at http://www.patternform.co.uk/
Once the website has loaded click on the PatternForm Cards for the current day.
Select the race you are interested in, remember we are looking for races of seven furlongs or shorter.
On the top right of the race card you will see a Pace V3 link. Click this and you get a pace card opening.
Now we need to determine if the race is a Lone Fast Pace race. In order to do this we need to analyse the pace figures for each of the runners first, and we do this by…
- Looking at each horses rating on the very far left
Looking at the example below:
The lower the rating a horse has then the faster the pace of the horse in the race. We are looking for races where there is just one runner who has a figure of between 1 and 2. We then want the rest of the majority of the field to have a rating of 4 or higher.
In our example above you can see that no runner has a 1 or 2 and most of the field have a 3 so this race is not suitable for us.
Let’s look at another race:
This is more like it. This is the perfect example! There’s just one runner, Sandra’s Diamond, that has a rating of 1 or 2. The rest of the field have a rating of more than 3 except one. Sandra’s Diamond becomes our selection.
As always I strongly suggest that you then take a look at the horses form to make sure that it looks ready to race and is fit, if there is a serious concern then don’t bet. This method doesn’t produce many selections and it finds horses that have a very strong chance of winning the race. It’s the perfect starting point if you’re new to betting as the strike rate is very high!
But this is just the starting point. Not only can we modify this method to work in races run over a longer distance, there are also at least three other possible ways of using pace to find winners in different types of race conditions!
If you want to see more then let me know by leaving a comment below and sharing this post with your friends 🙂
Interesting and useful website. Yes would like to known more about using it for longer distances. Thanks
Thanks Nic, I shall take a look at longer distances in another article 🙂
Be wary of applying this blindly, i have been using pace ratings for 20 years and some of the best bets i have ever found where hold up horses in races with little or no pace.
The reason being some horses have a good turn of foot they can exploit in slowly run races, but this finishing speed gets blunted in fast run races.
Thanks for the comment David. Well said, you should always use your own intuition when applying any method or strategy. An interesting angle on hold up horses in races with no pace. Maybe you would be interested in doing a write-up on it for RA readers?
Very interested in this article, would like to read more.
yes this looks like a diferent angle and is interesting i would like to know more about it
Hi Michael,
Always find your articles very interesting.
This latest one on pace is very clear and concise.
I knew there were different types of running style but have never been able to read anything about it.
So thanks I will look into this as another angle to test out.
Thanks again
Karen
Thanks Karen. Let me know how you get on with it.
hi there just like to say i got your email .. and yet to try it out …. on the flat would you use the same for a 5f /6f dash ……….. and what about the jumps on national hunt hope to hear from you kind reg.. russ
I would use this over a 5f or 6f dash but we would need to change it for jumps as it is a different beast.
Hi what can be used for hurdles?
Hi Ronnie, This article was written over 5 years ago now! I will ask our expert Patrick to dig out some stats and write a more up to date article for us, in the near future 🙂
Hi Michael
Seems a sensible approach to me, being able to use it at greater distances seems sensible as well.
I would be interested in more information/analysis for all weather purposes, and like other posters if a pace angle could be applied to NH races. Regards, Marilyn.
Thanks Marilyn, I shall look at this in the future 🙂
I have used this for years for short races at Southwell. It always made sense to me that horses at the front were not going to suffer the kickback.
Nice article as always.
Thanks Gary.
Hi Michael ,hope this can help me find the one winner a day so looking forward to trying rgdsRay
Absolutely Ray. Let us know how you get on with this.
I have used this type of approach to find Betfair trading opportunities
Thanks for commenting Phil. A good angle to use, are you still using it for trading?
Hi Michael
Patternform is an excellent free ratings service. In particular, I check his speed figures in assessing a race. I’ve never looked at the pace angle before, though.
Jack
Hi Michael another sound article, pace is the thing that determines how a race will be run. I am looking forward to further articles on this subject. This is the best free information site on the inter web, keep up the good work.
Thank you Richard, I shall follow it up in the future with more pace based articles 🙂
Interesting angle- certainly looking forward to reading any additional info. you may provide on this topic.
Thanks Tony.
great article keep up the good work
Thank you Dave, much appreciated 🙂
hi michael great article on pace i will use it along side my ratings
can you please let me know if there is a pase method nh thanks jim
Thanks Jim, I shall let you know when I’ve written one.
Hi Michael,
Always look forward to hearing your views and comments, most informative.
Cheers.
Rog.
Thanks Rog.
Hi Michael
have you done this follow up yet?
I haven’t yet Stuart but I’ve highlighted it on my list of articles to write.
Great article!I have found patternform pace ratings to be very useful in assessing how a race will pan out.
I’m also very interested in knowing how we can use those ratings in the flat in longer races and, how to use them in jumps racing.
Hi Michael,
Interesting approach, giving it a try today, no selections in the sprints at Wolverhampton, so trying Taunton with 3 selections, one each in 14:00 (Oscar Jane), 15:40 (Mari Me Oscar) tentative choice so small stakes with this one, and finally 16:10 (Tornadon In Milan)
Let us know how you get on
All 3 were successful, as they were over longer distances I decided to lay them first for £10, £5 for Mari me oscar, and back at double the odds for half the stake, nice £12.50 profit, I will continue with small stakes to get more data.
Thank you for the update 🙂
Thanks for introducing me to v3 and an explanation to boot. I would be grateful for any further advice. regards, Bob
Hi Bob, What kind of further advice would you like? More strategy based, staking or where to start? Let me know, in more detail and I can help you out 🙂 Eddie
Thank you Eddie for the reply. I still have a lot to learn and I need to pay attention to detail. As a child I had a serious head injury due to a drnken wagon driver T boning the car I was travelling in. I am not incapaciitated as such, but my brain can be a bit slow.That was a long time ago and I try to keep my brain active. I think any strategy advice may be the discipliine for me to improve on. Regards Bob
Good article. I was wondering was this method still used today and whether or not you had a strike rate to go with it?
The theory behind this article can still be used today. We now use our own pace software, Pace Predictor at http://raceadvisor.co.uk/pace-predictor, but the principles are very much the same.
yes please very interested in pace over longer distances. good read thanks.
yes would love to know about longer distances and other ways maybe we can use it find lay bets as well.
Hi Guys, I will have a word with Patrick to look into longer distances in the New Year 🙂