It’s Betfair Chase Day at Haydock on Saturday but that’s not the big race I will be focusing in on. Instead, I am looking at one of the handicaps that make up an excellent supporting card.
Haydock
2:25 – Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (Class 1) – 2m 7f
This used to be known as the Fixed Brush hurdle but I think this year’s race is being run over normal hurdles which means the following trends should be respected but certainly not followed too blindly. Last years renewal was won by the 9-year-old Kruzhlinin trained by Philip Hobbs who was sent off at odds of 9/1.
The figures used in these trends are from 2008 to 2016 and consist of 9 winners from 147 runners 34 placed
Key Trends:
Odds SP: 12/1 & under – 9 winners from 57 runners 21 placed
Wins On Going: 1+ – 9 winners from 91 runners 24 placed
Weight: 10-13 to 12-00 – 8 winners from 81 runners 24 placed.
There are no clear age trends but it’s worth noting that 5-year-olds starting 12/1 & under are 5 wins from 14 runners 36% +26.5 9 placed 64%
This is not a race for a really big priced winner and you need to focus in on horses at the front end of the market. At least one win on the going has been essential for past winners of the race and the higher weighted horses have been holding sway recently.
Trainer records with runners starting 12/1 & under and with possible runners are:
David Pipe – 3 winners from 6 runners 50% +11.5
Nick Williams – 2 winners from 4 runners 50% +11.5
Dan Skelton- 1 winner from 2 runners 50% +11
Philip Hobbs – 1 winner from 3 runners 33% +7 2 placed 67%
These four trainers have provided 7 of the last 9 winners of the race and their runners will definitely go on my shortlist for the race
Ante Post Information
There is no ante-post information this week but I will be looking at the race, formerly known as the Hennessey Gold Cup, now the Ladbrokes Trophy which is next weeks big race at Newbury.
Until next time, be lucky.
John
