Two big handicaps this weekend, the November Handicap at Doncaster and the Badger Ales Trophy over jumps a Wincanton. Here are some key trends from both races that will hopefully help you when it comes to shortlisting. Starting with the November Handicap.
Doncaster – November Handicap – 1m 4f – The figures are from 2008 to 2016 and consist of 9 winners from 195 runners 35 placed
Key Trends:
Odds SP: 20/1 & under – 9 winners from 114 runners 27 placed
Official Rating vs Last Race: 1lb lower to 4lb higher – 9 winners from 125 runners 29 placed
Odds SP Last Race: 14/1 @ under – 9 winners from 130 runners 28 placed
A previous run at Doncaster has been an advantage with 7 winners from 70 runners 23 placed having raced at the course on two or more occasions.
Interestingly a low draw has been a big disadvantage in recent years with runners in stall’s 1 to 8 being – 0 wins from 66 runners 9 placed.
Wincanton – Badger Ales Trophy – 3m 1f – The figures are from 2008 to 2016 and consist of 9 winners from 119 runners 28 placed
Key Trends:
Age: 5 to 9-year olds – 9 winners from 103 runners 25 placed
Odds SP: 14/1 @ under – 9 winners from 69 runners 21 placed
Official Rating vs last Race: 2lb lower to 10lb higher – 9 winners from 77 runners 20 placed
Odds SP Last Race: 11/4 to 9/1 – 8 winners from 55 runners 14 placed
Days Since Last Run: 11 to 30 days – 7 winners from 53 runners 14 placed
Seven out of the last nine winners were trained by Paul Nicholls (3), David Pipe (2), Charlie Longsdon (1) & Neil Mulholland (1).
Paul Nicholls is 2 wins from 4 runners 50% +15 with his runners in the racing within 25 days of their last start.
Until next time, be lucky.
John
