Micro-Angles – Horse in Profile – Tenor Nivernais

horse racing

The ten-year-old trained by Venetia Williams hasn’t won as many races over fences as his ability merits –

4 wins from 25 runs

10 placed over fences

Three of those four chase wins have come in November & December –

3 wins from 7 runs

Strike Rate 43%

SP Profit +10.25

5 placed

Place Strike Rate 71%

and he is 2 wins from 4 runs – 50% +5.25 3 placed 75%

Strike Rate 50% +5.25 3 placed 75%

SP Profit +5.25 3 placed 75%

3 placed 75%

Place Strike Rate 75%

When returning from a 180-day layoff with form figures 6113.

All his six career wins have come on soft or heavy ground and although he has been placed in some big field handicap over fences, two 3rd places at Cheltenham, all four of his chase wins have come in single digit fields –

4 wins from 12 runs

Strike Rate 33%

SP Profit +12.25

6 placed

Place Strike Rate 50%

John Burke

I have a MA in International Politics and having spent a number of years working in political campaigning but I eventually I realised that politics was not the world where I wanted to work I had been interested in horse racing since the late 1980s but in the early years I was merely just betting and watching racing like most people as a bit of fun and a hobby, then the hobby becomes a passion and that’s what happened to me with horse racing. I soon realised that to make money from my hobby I had to learn as much as I could about the sport and betting in general. The whole process took time but after a number of successful years of betting, I decided in 2011 to take the plunge, gave up my full time day job and decided to bet on horse racing as a part time business and I haven’t looked back since. I like to specialise in the better class of races and I love to solve the puzzles posed by big field handicaps the latter races often provide punters with great value betting opportunities. Whilst most of my time is spent reviewing previous races I like to keep things as simple as possible as even the biggest field handicaps can usually be pruned down to half a dozen strong contenders with the right sort of approach.
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