Micro-Angles – Trainers to Note in the Next 7 Days

Hi all,

Well, the winter jumps horse racing season had really moved out of first gear after events at Wetherby & Down Royal at the weekend.

This week’s article has a handful of trainers whose runners are worth keeping onside in the next seven days or so. I also have another of my profile horses for you, ante-post advice for the Greatwood Hurdle and some trends for the weekend big handicaps.

Paul Nicholls is a trainer whose runners in handicaps are worth noting at this time of year. Since 2014 he’s had –

21 winners from 103 runners

Strike Rate 20%

SP Profit +25.4

A/E 1.15 (profit +39.74)

40 placed

Place Strike Rate 38%

in handicap races in the two week period (14 days) either side of today’s date.

The real profit is to be found when focusing in on his runners in Class 3 handicaps

13 winners from 37 runners

Strike Rate 35%

SP Profit +34

A/E 1.9 (profit to BSP +41.25)

19 placed

Place Strike Rate 51%

Alan Fleming is an Irish trainer whose runners go well at this time in the season. Since 2014 he has had –

10 winners from 21 runners

Strike Rate 48%

SP Profit +35.46

A/E 2.25 (profit to BSP +54.08)

12 placed

Place Strike Rate 57%

and the signs are looking good for some more winners.

Henry Oliver is the final of this week’s trainers and it’s his handicappers we should focus in on. Since 2014 he has had –

10 winners from 33 runners

Strike Rate 30%

SP Profit +54

A/E 2.37 (profit to BSP +64.27)

19 placed

Place Strike Rate 58%

and like with Alan Fleming the signs are encouraging that his good record can be maintained.

John Burke

I have a MA in International Politics and having spent a number of years working in political campaigning but I eventually I realised that politics was not the world where I wanted to work I had been interested in horse racing since the late 1980s but in the early years I was merely just betting and watching racing like most people as a bit of fun and a hobby, then the hobby becomes a passion and that’s what happened to me with horse racing. I soon realised that to make money from my hobby I had to learn as much as I could about the sport and betting in general. The whole process took time but after a number of successful years of betting, I decided in 2011 to take the plunge, gave up my full time day job and decided to bet on horse racing as a part time business and I haven’t looked back since. I like to specialise in the better class of races and I love to solve the puzzles posed by big field handicaps the latter races often provide punters with great value betting opportunities. Whilst most of my time is spent reviewing previous races I like to keep things as simple as possible as even the biggest field handicaps can usually be pruned down to half a dozen strong contenders with the right sort of approach.
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