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Micro-Angles – What’s happened to Venetia Chasers?

Photo of John Burke John BurkeDecember 20, 2017
247 1 minute read

Hi all,

I like to think this weekly preview is the one-stop shop for all your weekend horse racing stats and trends needs.

 

This week I want to examine the form of the Venetia Williams stable.

I am sure, like me, plenty of you have some systems based on Venetia Williams chasers in November & December or her runners on soft & heavy ground. If you have you will have thrown away plenty of losing betting slips since the 1st October!

This is her record with chasers since 2012 in the months of October to December starting with this season:

2017 – 2 winners from 24 runners

Strike Rate 8%

SP Loss -15.5

A/E 0.51

7 placed

Place Strike Rate 29%

2016 – 5 winners from 25 runners

20%

SP Profit +6.2

A/E 1.28

9 placed

Place Strike Rate 36%

2015 – 19 winners from 72 runners

Strike Rate 26%

SP Profit +53.25

A/E 1.37

28 placed

Place Strike Rate 39%

2014 – 15 winners from 70 runners

Strike Rate 21%

SP Profit +17.83

A/E 1.13

24 placed

Place Strike Rate 34%

2013 – 9 winners from 44 runners

Strike Rate 20%

SP Loss -6.62

A/E 1.09

18 placed

Place Strike Rate 41%

2012 – 12 winners from 68 runners

Strike Rate 18%

SP Profit +1.11

A/E 0.94

35 placed

Place Strike Rate 51%

Granted Venetia still has a few days of the month left to turn things around but even if she does the halcyon days of 2015 & 2014 look to be over. Maybe she had had a ‘low level’ bug in her yard this autumn or she has some poorly handicapped horses or maybe she just isn’t getting the quality of horses that she used too?

There is a host of possible reasons for the mediocre form of her chasers this autumn but given she has had as many handicap hurdle winners during the period as she has had over fences maybe the first of the excuses may not best explain things.

Next time I will be taking a look at the recent form of another underperforming stable that of Philip Hobbs.

Photo of John Burke John BurkeDecember 20, 2017
247 1 minute read
Photo of John Burke

John Burke

I have a MA in International Politics and having spent a number of years working in political campaigning but I eventually I realised that politics was not the world where I wanted to work I had been interested in horse racing since the late 1980s but in the early years I was merely just betting and watching racing like most people as a bit of fun and a hobby, then the hobby becomes a passion and that’s what happened to me with horse racing. I soon realised that to make money from my hobby I had to learn as much as I could about the sport and betting in general. The whole process took time but after a number of successful years of betting, I decided in 2011 to take the plunge, gave up my full time day job and decided to bet on horse racing as a part time business and I haven’t looked back since. I like to specialise in the better class of races and I love to solve the puzzles posed by big field handicaps the latter races often provide punters with great value betting opportunities. Whilst most of my time is spent reviewing previous races I like to keep things as simple as possible as even the biggest field handicaps can usually be pruned down to half a dozen strong contenders with the right sort of approach.
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