Micro-Angles – Profile Horse

This week’s horse in profile is the Paul Nicholls trained Le Prezien. The six-year-old made a decent start to his chasing career last season, winning two of his seven starts over the larger obstacles. He made an encouraging start to the season when beaten just a neck at Cheltenham last month. The ground was good that day which wouldn’t be his best surface.

All his career wins have come on soft ground – 5 wins from 7 runs 6 placed.

He also is a horse who does well between Nov & Jan – 4 wins from 5 runs 5 placed. Looking at his record when running 16 to 30 days since his last start is an excellent 3 wins from 4 runs 4 placed with form figures 1121. Indeed all his career wins have come when racing within 60 days of his last start.

The handicapper has put him up 6lb for his Cheltenham run but he was taking on a good horse on his day in Foxtail Hill and they did pull 11 lengths clear of the third so he could be capable of more improvement, maybe over further than 2m+. Not had many goes beyond 2m 2f+ and given his form figures are 182 at Cheltenham a tilt at the BetVictor Gold Cup for which he is a best-priced 16/1 with William Hill and where he will no doubt renew rivalry with the winner.

John Burke

I have a MA in International Politics and having spent a number of years working in political campaigning but I eventually I realised that politics was not the world where I wanted to work I had been interested in horse racing since the late 1980s but in the early years I was merely just betting and watching racing like most people as a bit of fun and a hobby, then the hobby becomes a passion and that’s what happened to me with horse racing. I soon realised that to make money from my hobby I had to learn as much as I could about the sport and betting in general. The whole process took time but after a number of successful years of betting, I decided in 2011 to take the plunge, gave up my full time day job and decided to bet on horse racing as a part time business and I haven’t looked back since. I like to specialise in the better class of races and I love to solve the puzzles posed by big field handicaps the latter races often provide punters with great value betting opportunities. Whilst most of my time is spent reviewing previous races I like to keep things as simple as possible as even the biggest field handicaps can usually be pruned down to half a dozen strong contenders with the right sort of approach.
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