The end of July and the beginning of August see two of the season’s great racing festivals at ‘Glorious Goodwood’ and over the Irish Sea at Galway.
The ‘Glorious’ comes off the festival name this year with the start of a ten year sponsorship of the meeting by Qatar whose sponsorship is the biggest single deal in British horse racing. The Festival’s two feature races are the Sussex Stakes over a mile and should see yet another “Duel on the Downs between Gleneagles and French challenger Solow. The other Group I is the Nassau Stakes over 1m 2f for fillies and mares. Both races have benefitted from increased prize money courtesy of the Qatar sponsorship.
The highlights of five great days racing from a betting perspective are the Steward’s Cup over the one of the sharpest 6f in the country. This annual cavalry charge will no doubt provide racegoers and TV watchers with a great spectacle as ever. The other big field handicap at the meeting is the Betfred Mile and both it and the Stewards Cup will provide punters with plenty of betting opportunities.
Mark Johnston At Glorious Goodwood
You will often see or hear in the media that Mark Johnston has a great record at the Festival so I thought I would dig a little deeper to see if that is correct.
This is Mark Johnston’s record since 2010:
At least you wouldn’t have lost money by backing his horses blind but it’s hardly a stellar record either. I dug a little deeper and looked at his record in handicaps in the same period to see if there was a more profitable angle:
It didn’t really improve things but it does get more interesting if we take his record in handicaps since 2012:
Yearly breakdown since 2010:
2014 – 4 wins/18 bets +22.22
2013 – 2 wins/23 bets -5
2012 – 5 wins/19 bets +34.38
2011 – 0 wins/17 bets -17
2010 – 1 win/20 bets -13
What sort of year will Mark Johnston have in 2015? It could go either way. Don’t get caught up in the media hype but his runners have to be respected.
Trainers To Watch In Handicaps!
Unlike July’s Newmarket Festival where two trainers Mark Johnston and Richard Fahey whose runners had to be kept onside, didn’t let their followers down this year with both having nice priced handicap winners at meeting, Goodwood is more competitive and there are not as many strong trainer stats to go to war with. The sample sizes are small but here are some trainers whose handicappers I will be keeping a close eye on this year. Since 2010 this is their records in handicaps.
Firstly, a trainer who has been the most profitable to follow since 2010 and had two big handicap winners last year at 7/1 & 20/1!
Dandy Nicholls’ does admittedly send a big team to the meeting but you have to have his runners on your betting shortlists particularly for the big field sprint handicaps!
Other trainers with interesting stats are:
Brian Gubby – 2 wins/3 bets +37
Jeremy Noseda – 3 wins/7 bets +30.75
Hugo Palmer – 2 wins/5 bets +7
Robert Cowell – 2 wins/10 bets +6
I hope the above trainer stats will aid your winner finding at this years Qatar Goodwood Festival.