There are some big handicaps his weekend both sides of the Irish Sea. At Ascot, we have the Totescoop6 Challenge Cup Handicap over 7f on Saturday. Meanwhile over the Irish Sea on Sunday there is the Ladbrokes Munster National at Limerick and the Irish Cesarewitch, which this year will be run at Navan rather than the Curragh. For this weeks preview, I am looking at Ascot’s big Saturday handicap.
Last years race was one by the well-backed Dean Ivory trained Librisa Breeze at odds of 11/2. Looking at the period under analysis, there have been 9 winners from 182 runners with 34 placed. Here are some of the key trends both positive and negative that have emerged:
Key Trends:
Positives
Runners aged 3 to 6 have won all 9 running’s of the race
Runners starting 16/1 & under in the betting are 8 wins from 100 runs 26 placed
Runners moving up 1f from their last run have had 5 winners from 59 runners A/E 1.53 11 placed
Runners that won their last race or were beaten 4 lengths or less in their last race are 8 winners from 114 runners 25 placed
Negatives
Runners with 2 or wins at 7f are 0 wins from 87 runners 12 placed
Runners drawn 16+ are 0 wins from 49 runners 1 placed
Runners with 4 or more handicaps wins are 0 wins from 51 runners 8 placed
Now as we know past results are not necessarily a guide to future success but hopefully, you can use the above trends to find some strong contenders for your shortlist and remove some weak ones.
Until next time
John
