Patrick Lynch
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Jul- 2018 -31 JulyAdvice
Draw Bias at Goodwood
Of all the major festivals on the UK racing calendar, it is suggested that Glorious Goodwood has arguably the most extensive level of draw bias. It is something that has been spoken about for years. Back in 2009, Simon Rowlands of Betfair wrote about the bias for horses near the rails in the Mile Handicap; primarily due to a large…
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24 JulyAdvice
Fitting the Bill: Does Your Selection Make Sense? A Simple Way to Analyse Your Horse Racing Picks
Even a 10-runner race can take a significant amount of time to analyse. Back in November 2011, Michael wrote a brief article entitled Finding Selections â The Beginnerâs Guide and pointed out that professional bettors look at a vast array of factors. He mentioned eight of them and noted that in a race with ten horses, you would have 720…
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17 JulyAdvice
Is Kellyâs Criterion Effective in Horse Racing Betting?
Experienced punters would suggest that a proper staking plan is as important as finding winners when trying to attain long-term profit. Letâs face it, even the best âsystemâ will have extensive losing runs. If your current method of staking is unable to get you through these rough patches, it is a waste of time because you wonât benefit from the…
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7 JulyAdvice
Trainers, Jockeys & Stallion Offspring at the Newmarket July Festival â Who Is Profitable & Who Should Be Avoided?
Often proclaimed âthe home of British racingâ, Newmarket is about to host its famous annual event in what is now called the Moet and Chandon July Festival. The three-day event takes place from the 12-14 July and features several Group races including the Falmouth Stakes and the Darley July Cup. It is also the scene of the much-loved Bunbury Cup…
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3 JulyAdvice
Trainer Focus â Which Trainers Are Most Likely to Provide You with Profit in July?
There are many potential âanglesâ that you can cover when seeking a profit from horse racing. You can look at a variety of criteria including favouritesâ performances when dropping down in class, horses returning within seven days, and a specific horseâs results over a certain type of going. It is possible to go through hundreds of pieces of data just…
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Jun- 2018 -26 JuneAdvice
Horse Racing Tipsters â Are They Worth Your Time & Money?
This is a somewhat awkward topic I have chosen to cover since I work for a website that offers tips on horse racing! I am personally not a tipster and admire anyone willing to risk their reputation to try and help punters earn a profit at the expense of the bookies. However, for every reputable tipster with a proven track…
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22 JuneNews
Day 5 Royal Ascot Trends â Will They Help You Find a Winner?
Saturday is the final day of this yearâs Royal Ascot festival and hopefully, you have managed to make some semblance of a profit over the previous four days. As you would expect, bookies love Class 1 races because it forces us to pick a winner from a field stacked with world class horses. The final day of Ascot sees four…
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16 JuneAdvice
Royal Ascot â A British Kind of Race Meeting
For racing traditionalists, there are few meetings on the calendar to match the 5-day extravaganza that takes place at Ascot every June. Known as âRoyal Ascotâ, the meeting has been the courseâs centrepiece since 1711 after being founded by Queen Anne. Entry to the festival comes with a guarantee that youâll see world-class action as there are a total of…
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2 JuneNews
Is the Epsom Derby 2018 the Easiest Renewal to Call in Recent Years?
Known as the Investec Derby these days, the Epsom Day is the most coveted of the five Classics and is arguably the most famous and prestigious Flat race in the world. With a purse of over ÂŁ1.6 million, it is officially the ârichestâ horse race in the UK and is also known as the Blue Riband of the turf scene.…
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May- 2018 -26 MayAdvice
How to Find Front Runners for Back to Lay Opportunities
This was something Iâve wanted to write about for a while but the notion of getting value from front-runners on the Betfair Exchange became embedded in my mind after the Chester Cup. I had backed the well-known front-runner My Reward at 14/1 and saw its odds tumble to around 9/1 by the off. Within 20 or so seconds, when the…
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15 MayAdvice
The York Dante Festival: Can Trends Help You Go Off The Beaten Track For Profits?
The trouble with festivals is that the feature races are exceedingly competitive. Take the main event at the York Festival, the Yorkshire Cup for example. Less than a week from the race, there are 11 horses at odds of 16/1 or less in an event where 13 of the last 21 favourites have failed to win. However, the last four…
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5 MayAdvice
Can Past Trends Deconstruct the Incredibly Competitive 1,000 and 2,000 Guineas Races at Newmarket?
Weâve barely had the opportunity to get over another epic National Hunt season, and amazing finishes in the Aintree and Scottish Grand Nationals, when there is world-class Flat racing for us to enjoy once again. The two-day QIPCO Guineas festival features the 2,000 Guineas on Saturday, 5 May and the 1,000 Guineas (fillies only) on Sunday, 6 May. Both events…
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Apr- 2018 -28 AprilAdvice
Trainer Sweet Spots â Are the Forums Right?
It is a well-known fact that some trainers have a clear preference for specific courses. For example, in his career, Paul Nicholls has a 56%-win rate over jumps at Southwell, a 40%-win rate at Leicester and win rates of 35% at Fakenham, Perth and Musselburgh. Meanwhile, he struggles at Market Rasen (17%), Haydock Park (17%), and Towcester (12%). We also…
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25 AprilAdvice
The Tote Jackpot and Placepot
In February, it was announced that the Tote would be replaced by Britbet on most UK racecourses from July 2018. It brings an end to 90 years of history as the Tote was set up in 1928 with Sir Winston Churchill playing a major role in its formation. It remained government-owned until July 2011 when Betfred purchased it on a…
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17 April
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10 AprilNews
Achieving the Impossible: Picking a Grand National Winner
Although the Cheltenham Gold Cup is one of the highlights of the racing calendar, we revealed that it isnât as open a race as originally thought. If you focus on the top three in the market, youâre likely to come close to picking a winner. The Aintree Grand National, on the other hand, is as close to a âlotteryâ as…
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3 AprilAdvice
Handicap Ceilings
On November 10, 2016, the British Horseracing Authority (BHA) made a decision which significantly impacted the world of handicap racing. It announced a change to handicap race entry criteria which meant that horses rated 1 or 2 pounds higher than the allocated rating band could enter the majority of races. The amendment only impacts races at Class 3 and below.…
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Mar- 2018 -24 MarchAdvice
Is it worth your while following trends
There is a stark difference between horse racing betting systems and trends. With systems, youâre following a set of data in a bid to find winners. I have written dozens of articles for Race Advisor that offer readers an insight into different betting systems to see if they have the potential for profit. A recent example was the âNowhere Fourthâ…
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17 MarchAdvice
The fix is in. How can you spot a dodgy race and avoid betting on it?
It would be naĂŻve in the extreme to suggest that the Sport of Kings is purer than the driven snow. Over the last few decades, there have been numerous scandals involving trainers, owners, jockeys, and bookmakers. One of the most notorious instances of alleged race fixing involved six-time Champion Jockey, Kieran Fallon. He was arrested in September 2004 on suspicion…
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13 MarchAdvice
Cheltenham
Bookmakers tend to enjoy the unpredictability of major festivals such as Cheltenham, Newmarket, and Aintree. With so many world-class horses facing off against one another, it can be a nightmare to choose a potential winner. Occasionally, such as the Cheltenham Festival in 2017, a significant number of favourites win and give the bookies a much-needed bloody nose. When it comes…
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